Service Plays Tuesday 08/18/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Phoenix Mercury at Chicago Sky (Pick, 177)

The Sky have set one franchise record with 13 victories and are trying to set another for injuries.

Starting forward Brooke Wyckoff (illness) and reserve guard K.B. Sharp (knee) sat out Saturday's 79-76 win over Minnesota, which saw star center Sylvia Fowles take a tumble in the closing seconds and hobble off with a left ankle injury. Coach Steven Key said he was unsure of Fowles' status for the next game.

Fowles missed five games with a knee injury in July, and Chicago lost them all. She missed 16 games in her 2008 rookie season with a knee injury, and the Sky went 5-11.

Chicago was without Fowles at Phoenix on July 8, and took a 90-70 loss.

Pick: Phoenix


Seattle Storm at Detroit Shock (-1, 140)

The Seattle Storm had three starters on the Western Conference All-Star team, but you couldn't tell by their recent play.

At the break, the Storm were 11-6, one game behind first-place Phoenix in the West. Since the break, they have lost five of seven games to fall 3.5 games off the pace and in danger of missing the playoffs, which they have not done since 2003.

Seattle has yet to cover since the break. The Storm are 0-3 as favorites, 0-4 as underdogs, 0-3 at home and 0-4 on the road.

Their defense is to blame. For the season, the Storm are third in the WNBA, allowing 73.1 points per game. Since the All-Star break, they have surrendered 79.6.

This is the finale of a three-game road trip. In two previous trip-ending games, the Storm lost and failed to cover.

Pick: Detroit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Braves Monday.

Today it's the Red Sox. The surplus is 1,050 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 18, 2009

Red-hot Hondo rolled to his sixth straight victory last night, collecting with the Cardinals in Loss Angeles to trim the deficit to 220 labines.

Tonight, he'll stick with'em -- 10 units on St. Loo over Billingsley (Chad, not Barbara).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


SAN FRANCISCO (LINCECUM) -240 (1)

Cincinnati (Bailey)



YANKEES (SABATHIA) -230 (2)

Oakland (Mazzaro)



Minnesota (Pavano)

TEXAS (FELDMAN) -155 (3)



RUN TOTALS

Yankees / Oakland UNDER 8 ½

St. Louis / Dodgers UNDER 8

Baltimore / Tampa Bay OVER 9 ½

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, AUGUST 18


NATIONAL LEAGUE


St. Louis (68-52) at L.A. Dodgers (70-49)


Chad Billingsley (11-6, 3.73 ERA) is scheduled to return to the mound for the first time in 11 days when he leads the slumping Dodgers against the streaking Cardinals, who turn to rookie Mitchell Boggs (1-1, 3.76) in the middle game of a four-game series at Dodger Stadium.


Behind another stellar pitching performance by Chris Carpenter, the Cardinals outlasted Los Angeles 3-2 on Monday for their fifth straight win and their ninth in the last 10 games. St. Louis is on additional upticks of 4-0 on the road, 8-1 against the N.L. West, 6-1 against right-handed starters and 5-1 with Boggs on the mound, but it has lost seven of 10 as underdog.


The Dodgers have lost four of five and seven out of 10 overall, including five straight home defeats. Joe Torre’s troops are also in ruts of 2-6 against the N.L. Central, 4-11 in the second game of a series and 2-6 versus right-handed starters, but they have won 16 of 21 on Tuesday and they’re 60-26 in their last 80 games when favored at Dodger Stadium.


St. Louis continues to own this rivalry, having won 38 of the last 55 meetings overall, including nine of the last 12 in Los Angeles. This year, the Cards are 3-1 against L.A.


Boggs is coming off a 5-4 home loss to Cincinnati a week ago, allowing four runs on nine hits and four walks in six innings. It was the first time in the right-hander’s six starts this season that St. Louis lost. However, the Redbirds are 4-1 in Boggs’ last five road starts, including 2-0 this year, with Boggs posting a 4.38 ERA. The Georgia native has never faced the Dodgers.


Billingsley has been sidelined with a hamstring injury since Aug. 7, when he allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings, getting a no-decision in L.A.’s 9-5, 12-inning loss. The Dodgers’ ace is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last six starts, including a 10-0 loss in St. Louis in which he yielded six runs on four hits and six walks in 5 2/3 innings.


Billingsley is 7-4 with a 3.86 ERA in 12 home outings this year, but he’s 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Cardinals, with Los Angeles losing all four starts.


For the Cardinals, the “over” is on runs of 6-3-3 overall, 5-1-2 on the road and 4-1-1 on Tuesday. Likewise, Los Angeles is in the midst of “over” stretches of 9-4-1 at home, 4-0 on Tuesday, 6-0-1 with Billingsley on the bump, 7-3-2 when Billingsley pitches at home, 7-2-1 when he faces the N.L. Central and 5-1-2 when he starts on Tuesday. Conversely, the under has been the play in five of the last six meetings between these clubs.


ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS




AMERICAN LEAGUE


Seattle (61-57) at Detroit (62-55)


The Mariners send ace Felix Hernandez (12-4, 2.72 ERA) to the mound as they return to Comerica Park for the second time in less than a month to battle the Tigers, who are set to counter with Rick Porcello (10-7, 4.34).


Seattle salvaged a four-game home series against the Yankees with Sunday’s 10-3 rout, as the team split its 10-game homestand, going just 2-4 in the last six. Since leaving Detroit with a pair of 2-1 victories on July 22 and 23, the Mariners are just 10-13 overall (3-4 on the road), and they’ve also lost 10 of their last 14 games on Tuesday. On the positive end, they’re on hot streaks of 21-7 as a favorite and 10-1 as a road chalk.


Detroit had a three-game winning streak snapped with Sunday’s 3-2, 10-inning home loss to Kansas City. Jim Leyland’s team continues to be very inconsistent, as it hasn’t won more than three in a row or lost more than three in a row since a seven-game winning streak in late June. The Tigers enter this contest with trends of 41-20 at Comerica, 18-5 at home against right-handed starters and 6-2 after a loss, but 29-65 as an underdog and 7-15 on Tuesday.


These clubs have split their six meetings this season, with the visitor winning four times. Prior to winning twice last month at Comerica Park, the Mariners had lost seven of eight in Motown.


Hernandez’s stellar season continued on Wednesday against the White Sox, as he pitched seven scoreless innings and struck out 10, but he failed to earn a decision as the Mariners eventually won 1-0 in 14 innings. Going back to May 24, the right-hander has notched 14 quality starts in his last 15 trips to the mound, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 12 of those 15 games.


With Hernandez on the bump, the Mariners are on a slew of positive runs, including 18-6 this season, 11-2 on the road this year (8-0 last eight), 7-2 against the A.L. Central, 9-1 as a favorite and 6-0 as a road favorite. In his 13 starts on the highway, King Felix is 8-1 with a 1.96 ERA, including a 2-1 win at Detroit on July 22. In fact, he’s won five straight starts against the Tigers (2-0 this year), posting a 1.80 in the last three.


Porcello is coming off a five-game suspension after hitting Boston’s Kevin Youkilis with a pitch on Aug. 11 that led to a brawl at Fenway Park. He was charged with one run on one hit in one inning in that game, which Detroit lost 7-5. In two previous starts, the right-hander gave up three total runs in 13 2/3 innings (2.03 ERA), with the Tigers winning 4-3 at Cleveland and 7-3 at home against Baltimore.


Detroit is 12-5 in Porcello’s last 17 outings, 4-1 in his last five at home and 4-1 in his last five versus the A.L. West, but it has lost four of his last five in the underdog role. Porcello is 5-3 with a 4.92 ERA in 10 home games this season, and he’s faced the Mariners twice in 2009, allowing one run in seven innings of an 8-2 road win on April 19, then giving up five runs in five innings at home on July 21, though Detroit still prevailed 9-7.


With Hernandez pitching, the “under” is on runs of 10-4 overall, 35-16-1 on the highway, 14-3 as a road chalk and 4-0 against the A.L. Central. But as a team, the Mariners are on “over” streaks of 9-4 overall, 4-1 on the road, 6-1 against right-handed starters, 6-2 against the A.L. Central and 5-2 on Tuesday.


Detroit carries “over” trends of 11-4 overall, 5-2 at home, 5-2 after an off day, 4-0-1 on Tuesday and 4-1 in series openers. Finally, these teams have hurdled the total in 10 of their last 13 clashes at Comerica Park, though the last two battles a month ago – both 2-1 Seattle wins – stayed way under the posted price.


ATS ADVANTAGE: SEATTLE and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers access

Cubs(RL)
Yankees(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

61-31 run, 8-2 last 10

Tues Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

Phoenix at Chicago

The Mercury look to bounce back from their loss in San Antonio and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Phoenix is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Seattle at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.973; Detroit 111.506
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Over
Game 653-654: Phoenix at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.053; Chicago 112.999
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 177
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1); Over
Game 655-656: Washington at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.232; Los Angeles 112.919
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 138
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks
DUNKEL

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

The Brewers look to bounce back from yesterday's 9-5 loss and take advantage of Pittsburgh's 3-14 record in their last 17 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in the previous game. Milwaukee is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 18
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Arizona at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 14.258; Philadelphia (Martinez) 16.425
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-175); Under
Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 14.054; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 13.262
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Over
Game 955-956: Colorado at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 16.044; Washington (Stammen) 15.760
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-160); Over
Game 957-958: San Francisco at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.340; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-240); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-240); Under
Game 959-960: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 16.343; NY Mets (Perez) 14.040
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Under
Game 961-962: Florida at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.519; Houston (Norris) 15.672
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Over
Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 13.609; San Diego (Carrillo) 14.255
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Under
Game 965-966: St. Louis at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Boggs) 16.120; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.696
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+160); Under
Game 967-968: Seattle at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.403; Detroit (Porcello) 14.914
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over
Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.479; Toronto (Romero) 14.575
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Over
Game 971-972: Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 14.121; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.169
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-220); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-220); Under
Game 973-974: LA Angels at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Bell) 15.996; Cleveland (Carmona) 16.344
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 13 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Over
Game 975-976: Minnesota at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 15.900; Texas (Feldman) 15.735
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over
Game 977-978: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.414; White Sox (Garcia) 15.518
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under
Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.844; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.440
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-230); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

red sox
fla/hou under

 

[motor87]

axiumsports.com

August 18th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,097.59

Pick #3- England – Conference North Soccer
3)Bet 27.06 to win 25.05 on Redditch United/Stafford Rangers OVER 2.5 -108

Pick #4-MLB
4a)Bet 27.38 to win 26.85 on Atlanta/NY Mets OVER 8.5 -102

4b)Bet 56.83 to win 55.71 on Atlanta/NY Mets OVER 8.5 -102

Pick #5-MLB
5aa)Bet 27.73 to win 25.21 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110
5ab)Bet 57.50 to win 52.27 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110

5ba)Bet 27.45 to win 24.96 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110
5bb)Bet 119.34 to win 108.50 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009 7:05 PM EST.
Boston Red Sox (66-51) at Toronto Blue Jays (55-61)
(R) Josh Beckett (14-4) vs. (L) Ricky Romero (10-5)
Oddsmakers: Boston as a -160 road favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.

Boston Red Sox -160

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009 8:05 PM EST.
Minnesota Twins (56-62) at Texas Rangers (67-50)
(R) Carl Pavano (10-9) vs. (R) Scott Feldman (12-4)
Oddsmakers: Texas as a -160 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.

Texas Rangers -160

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Tampa Bay Rays -220 *** (best bet)
San Francisco Giants -240
Chicago White Sox -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Tuesday ML Baseball


DODGERS BILLINGSLEY -R -175 Over St. Louis (10:10 et)

 

[steelers7]

Fazzini

Tuesday's play 15 Dime -- Mariners (Hernandez) over TIGERS (Porcello)

MARINERS
NOTE: List only Hernandez as Seattle's starting pitcher

King Felix has been good to me this year, and I'm going to go with him again today -- and with good reason.

Hernandez (12-4, 2.72 ERA) is contending for the Cy Young Award, and one of the reasons has been his performance on the road. The right-hander is 8-1 with an AL-best 1.96 ERA in 13 road starts, and Seattle has won his last eight outings away from home.

Hernandez also is 5-0 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts against Detroit. He already has beaten the Tigers twice this season, allowing four runs in 13 innings, and gave up one run and six hits in seven innings in his last outing against them.

Detroit starter Rick Porcello (10-7, 4.34) should be ready to go after serving a five-game suspension for beaning Boston's Kevin Youkilis. The rookie has not been very good at home, however, with a 4.92 ERA in 10 starts at Comerica Park, even though he has a 5-3 record there.

The right-hander is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in two outings against the Mariners this year. He allowed five runs and nine hits in five innings in his last start against them, on July 21.

Seattle has won 11 of Hernandez's last 12 starts overall. I think the beat goes on today. Take the Mariners in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Monday Recap -A nice win. It's always good to get that win early
in the day and then kick back, relax and enjoy!

Todays Play(s) - Today instead of FADING we're going to go with
the hot hand. Jimenez has an ERA around 1.0 in his last few starts
and he's facing a cold pitcher in Stammen. Being on the road keeps the
price from being -220 so we'll take the -160 right to the bank!


MLB - Colorado Rockies -160[LISTED] Jimenez / Stammen 800.00 / 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (35-21) +$3,809

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Morrison

08/18

MLB
official (B) bet Cubs ML
unofficial [A] bet Nats RL

WNBA
[A] bet Washington
[C] bet Seattle

 

[str8flush95]

Fastball - Best Bets

TB over BAL
TEX over MIN

 

[Yanks]

Super Sports Group (SSG)

Florida v. Houston

PICK: OVER 9 +105 (8*) Best Bet